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Author: JayEnAar

Public health physician, Commentator and blogger on public policy, Statistics and Data science enthusiast, Liberal.

Fake news and the misuse of official statistics

Governments all over the world resort to spin to present themselves in the best possible light. The boundary between gloss and outright lies can often be blurred. Statistical information is the easiest to fudge. The actual numbers may not be fabricated; that would be too obvious. Instead the spin masters use a few standard tricks: …

DeMonetisation and Digital Payments

DeMonetisation did not promote the uptake of digital transactions Driving India towards a less-cash, digital payments economy was one of the aims claimed by the Prime Minister when he invalidated 86% of India’s circulating currency. The reasoning was that India was a largely cash-based economy; if circulating cash was reduced, people would rapidly move towards …

India’s Great Leap Forward

A year on the Prime Minister’s Great Idea may have turned out to be a dud Mao ZeDong’s Great Leap Forward [1]  has to be the most outstanding example of the devastating harm from the unintended consequences of a state policy that aimed to modernize and develop an entire country.  It resulted in the deaths …

Citizens or Subjects

Modi and Adityanath interacting with people at Shahanshahpur varanasi

Many of the problems and issues in India – witness the political debate and the controversies that are so rife on twitter and other social media – are to do with either the relationship between people and the state, or the fine balance between the competing rights of individuals and communities. It may be a …

Misusing Statistics

Apologists for Prime Minister Modi’s Demonetisation policy are now claiming it led to a  big rise in direct tax revenues for Financial Year (FY) 2016-17. See, for instance this from Swarajya:  Does this stack up? The obvious logical flaw in this line of reasoning is the well-known ‘Post hoc ergo propter hoc’ fallacy. This is …